Select Publications
Articles and Monographs
- “How Hamas Ends: A Strategy for Letting the Group Defeat Itself”
- “How Israel Can Win: Defeating Hamas Will Require a Strategy That Goes Beyond Revenge”
- “What Israel should do now”
- “Deadly Siege Marks Hamas’ Effective Use of Combat Drone Swarm”
- “Designing lethal technologies”
- “Trends in Global Terrorism and the Return of State Sponsorship”
- “Could Ukraine become neutral, like Switzerland? Five things to know.”
- “The great realignment: Russia’s invasion leaves few sitting on the fence”
- “The Future of America’s Drone Campaign Time for a Clean Break With a Failed Approach”
- “Our diplomacy must embody America’s power”
- “US Counter-terrorism: Moving Beyond Global Counter-insurgency to Strongpoint Defence”
- “Learning the Scholar’s Craft”
- “The Nashville Bombing and Threats to Critical Infrastructure: We Saw This Coming”
- “Technology and Strategic Surprise: Adapting to an Era of Open Innovation”
- “America Needs an American Pandemic Strategy”
- “The Ambassador’s Brief”
- “ISIS Is More Than a Terrorist Group: The Case for Treating It Like a State Sponsor,” ForeignAffairs.com, March 23, 2016.
- “ISIS Is Not a Terrorist Group: Why Counterterrorism Won’t Stop the Latest Jihadist Threat,” Foreign Affairs, March/April 2015.
- “Hostage Negotiations and Other Talks with Terrorists: Price vs. Principle,” Georgetown Journal of International Affairs, Vol. XVI, No. 1 (Winter/Spring 2015), pp. 104-112.
- “The Foreign Policy Essay: Is this How to Win the ‘War on Terrorism?”Lawfare.com, 14 September 2014.
- “The ‘War on Terrorism’: What Does it Mean to Win?” Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 37, No. 2 (April 2014), pp. 174-197 (lead article).
- “Drones over Damascus: What Their Absence From the Syria Debate Means About Their Usefulness,” ForeignAffairs.com, 2 September 2013.
- “Why Drones Fail: When Tactics Drive Strategy,” Foreign Affairs, July/August 2013.
- “Thinking Long on Afghanistan: Could It Be Neutralized?” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 36, No. 1 (Winter 2012/13), pp. 55-72.
- “How Global Communications are Changing the Character of War,” Whitehead Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, vol. 14, no. 1 (Winter-Spring 2013), pp. 25-40.
- “Snap Judgments over Libyan Attacks Play into Hands of Terrorists,” Global Times (China), 16 September 2012 (co-author).
- “Politics, Strategy and the Haqqani Network,” Small Wars Journal, 6 September 2012.
- “Why Branding the Haqqanis Terrorists Was a Mistake: The Downsides of Making Policy During a Campaign,” ForeignAffairs.com, 11 September 2012.
- “U.S. Grand Strategy and Counterterrorism,” Orbis, Volume 56, No. 2 (Spring 2012), pp. 1-23.
- “The Politics of Naming and Shaming: Why the Haqqani Network is Not on the Foreign Terrorist Organizations List,” ForeignAffairs.com, 21 December 2011.
- “The Evolution of Counterterrorism: Will Tactics Trump Strategy?” International Affairs, Volume 86, No.4 (July 2010), pp. 837-856.
- “Law, War, and the Search for New Strategic Paradigms,” Journal of International Law and Commerce, Syracuse University College of Law, 37 Syracuse J. Int’l L. & Com. 23 (2009-2010).
- “No ‘Silver Bullets’: Explaining Research on How Terrorism Ends,” The CTC Sentinel (West Point Combating Terrorism Center), Vol. 3, No. 4 (April 2010), pp. 16-18.
- Negotiating with Groups that Use Terrorism: Lessons for Policy-makers, Center for Humanitarian Dialogue, Mediation Support Project, Oslo Forum, 2008.
- “How al-Qaeda Ends,” International Security, Vol. 31, No. 1 (Summer 2006), pp. 7-48 (lead article.)
- “Cybermobilization: The New Levee en Masse,” Parameters, Vol. 36, No. 2 (Summer 2006), pp. 77-87.
- “Behind the Curve: Globalization and International Terrorism,” International Security, Vol. 27, No. 3 (Winter 2002/2003), pp. 30-58.
- “Rethinking Sovereignty: American Strategy in the Age of Terrorism,” Survival, Vol. 44, No. 2 (Summer 2002), pp. 119-139.
- “The Diplomacy of Counterterrorism: Lessons Learned, Ignored and Disputed,” United States Institute of Peace Special Report (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Institute of Peace, 2002).
Books
- Ending Terrorism: Lessons for Defeating al-Qaeda, IISS Adelphi Paper Series, Routledge, 2008.
- Attacking Terrorism: Elements of a Grand Strategy, (Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University Press, 2004; second printing 2005).
Major Congressional Reports
- Foreign Terrorist Organizations, CRS Report for Congress, RL32223, Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, February 2004. (Established this project and directed a staff of three.)
- The ‘FTO’ List and Congress: Sanctioning Designated Foreign Terrorist Organizations, CRS Report for Congress, RL32120, October 2003. [Also published in Edward Linden, Focus on Terrorism (Nova 2006).]
- Terrorists and Suicide Attacks, CRS Report for Congress, RL32058, Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, August 2003. [Also published in Edward V. Linden, Focus on Terrorism (Nova 2006).]
- Al Qaeda after the Iraq Conflict, CRS Report for Congress, RS21529, Cingressional Research Service, Library of Congress, May 2003. [Also published in Lawrence J. Bevy, Al-Qaeda: An Organization to be Reckoned With (Nova 2006).]
- Terrorist Motivations for Chemical and Biological Weapons Use: Placing the Threat in Context, CRS Report for Congress, RL31831, Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, March 2003.
Select Book Chapters
- “The ‘War on Terrorism’: What does it mean to win?” Chapter 14 of Assessing the War on Terror: Western and Middle Eastern Perspectives, edited by Charles Webel and Mark Tomass (London and New York: Routledge, 2017).
- “The Neutralization of Afghanistan,” Sustainable National Security Strategy, edited by Jeremi Suri and Benjamin Valentino, funded by the Tobin Project, Cambridge, Massachusetts (forthcoming Oxford University Press, 2016).
- “How and Why Do Terrorist Campaigns End?” Illusions of Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism, Proceedings of the British Academy (Oxford: Oxford University Press, forthcoming late 2015).
- “The Strategic Implications of Targeted Drone Strikes for U.S. Global Counterterrorism,” The Ethical, Strategic and Legal Implications of Drone Warfare, edited by David Cortright (University of Chicago Press, 2015).
- “Nonstate Actors,” Chapter 8 of Iran and Its Neighbors: Regional Implications for U.S. Policy of a Nuclear Agreement, published by the Iran Project, New York, New York, September 2014, pp. 69-76.
- “Surrender and Suicide Terrorism,” Why Fighting Ends: A History of Surrender (Oxford: Oxford University Press, forthcoming 2010).
- “What is Really Changing? Change and Continuity in Global Terrorism,” The Changing Character of War (Oxford: Oxford University Press, forthcoming 2010).
- “Thinking Strategically about al-Qaeda,” Global Strategic Assessment 2009: America’s Security Role in a Changing World (Washington, D.C.: NDU Press, 2009).
- “How Terrorist Campaigns End,” Chapter One in Leaving Terrorism Behind: Individual and Collective Disengagement, edited by Tore Bjørgo and John Horgan (Routledge, 2008).
- “The Role of the Modern State in the Demise of Terrorism,” Counterterrorism: Democracy’s Challenge, edited by Andrea Bianchi and Alexis Keller (Oxford: Hart Publishing, 2008).
- “Studies in Counterterrorism: Russia and Chechnya,” Democracy and Counterterrorism: Lessons from the Past, edited by Robert J. Art and Louise Richardson (Washington, D.C.: United States Institute of Peace, 2007), pp. 383-424.
- “Transnational Terrorist Organizations and Security,” Grave New World: Global Dangers in the 21st Century, edited by Michael Brown (Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University Press, 2003), pp. 279-301.
- “Globalization, Sovereignty and Terrorism,” Chapter One of World Politics after 9-11 and East Asia (Seoul: The Korean Political Science Association, 2003), pp. 3-19.
Other
- “The Changing Face of Warfare in the 21st Century,” Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 18 August 2015.
- “Blood Year: Correspondence,” Quarterly Essay, Issue 59 (2015), pp. 128-132.
- “A New Model of Defense Cooperation,” (co-author) War on the Rocks, 5 March 2015.
- “Negotiating with Terrorists: Tactics and Strategy,” Fair Observer, 3 September 2014.
- “Terrorism,” The Best Five Books on Anything, 27 April 2010.
- “Al –Qaeda: An Idea, Not a Cult,” The Guardian (London), 30 November 2009.
- “Conception, Criticism, Contribution: Advancing the Research Agenda,” Critical Studies on Terrorism, Vol. 2, Issue 2 (2009), pp. 359-360.
- “Commentary: Al Qaeda’s Support is Fading,” CNN.com, 6 October 2009.
- “Al-Qaeda: End of the Beginning,” openDemocracy.net, 9 November 2007.
- “Terrorist Motivations for Chemical and Biological Weapons Use,” Defense and Security Analysis, Vol. 20, No. 4 (December 2004), pp. 21-37.
- “Innovations in Twenty-first Century Terrorism,” Oxford Forum, November 2005.
- “Chemical and Biological Weapons: Understanding Terrorist Motivations,” Swords and Ploughshares, Vol. XVI, No. 3 (Winter 2004/5).
- “Chechen Women: Menace and Desperation,” SIPA News, Columbia University School of Public and International Affairs, Spring 2005.
- “Terrorism’s Lesson Plan,” CSIS Strategy Report, No. 7, September 2004 (coauthor).
- “What War on Terrorism? China’s PLA is Still Fixated on Taiwan,” The Washington Times, 30 July 2002.
- “Terrorism–War’s Other Name,” Joint Force Quarterly, Autumn/Winter 2001/2002.